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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable (Paperback)
$14.20 - Save $1.58 (10%) - RRP $15.78 Free delivery worldwide (to United States and
all these other countries) Usually dispatched within 24 hours | |Short Description for The Black SwanWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? And, what can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? This book shows us how to stop trying to predict everything and take advantage of uncertainty.
Full description- Publisher: Penguin Books Ltd
- Published: 28 February 2008
- Format: Paperback 480 pages
- See: Full bibliographic data
- Categories: Information Theory | Management Decision Making | Probability & Statistics
- ISBN 13: 9780141034591 ISBN 10: 0141034599
- Sales rank: 778
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Full description for The Black Swan
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? And, why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', "The Black Swan" shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty.
